Harry Enten, a CNN data analyst, recently claimed he was “speechless” over recent polling that has suggested that former President Donald Trump has gained significant support from Black voters in the last few months leading up to the November election.
These latest polls detail how Trump has gained more support from Black voters around the nation than what was seen in 2020. Meanwhile, President Joe Biden’s support from Black voters has dropped.
Many Black Voters Are Supporting Trump
Various new polls have come out in recent weeks forecasting how this upcoming election between Biden and Trump may turn out.
Some of these polls have analyzed who Black voters around the country are going to be supporting this November. In many of these polls, Trump has seen a huge surge in support from Black voters.
Trump’s Tripling His Support
Perhaps most remarkably is the fact that these polls have indicated that Trump has tripled his support in the last four years among Black voters.
In 2020, only 7% of Black voters supported Trump. New polls have revealed that this support has risen to an astounding 21% in 2024.
Stunning Data
This data has stunned many analysts — including CNN’s Enten. While covering a segment about these polls on the news channel, Enten explained that he was “speechless” over what the data revealed.
He said, “I’ve just never seen anything like this. I’m like speechless.”
A Historic Performance
Enten also opened up about how these polls hint that Trump could do incredibly well this November if these large amounts of Black voters show up to elect him.
“I keep looking for signs that this is going to go back to normal and I don’t see it yet in the polling,” Enten said. “If anything, right now we’re careening towards historic performance for a Republican presidential candidate, the likes of which we have not seen in six decades.”
Enten’s Past Analysis
This isn’t the first time Enten discussed the various polls indicating that Trump was polling better among Black voters than he has in the past.
Back in May, Enten explained that this shift in support could signify a “huge alarm” for Biden, as this many supporters could help Trump win in November, thanks to the Electoral College.
Biden’s Support Among Black Voters
While Trump has increased his support among Black voters, Biden hasn’t. Instead, multiple polls have revealed that Biden has increasingly lost the support of many voters in this demographic in just the last four years.
In 2020, about 86% of Black voters supported Biden. Now, that support has fallen to 70%. While this is still high, analysts have warned that even this drop could make a huge difference in the election.
A Difference in Generations
Data has also indicated that Black voters of different ages support Biden differently. For example, those over the age of 50 tend to still support Biden, even though a slight decline has been seen.
By comparison, Biden’s support from Black voters under the age of 50 has dropped incredibly. In 2020, Biden had 80% of their support. Now, he only has 37%.
Black Voters in Swing States
Many analysts have increasingly started to look at swing states to see what polls conducted in these important parts of the United States indicate about November’s election.
In states like Pennsylvania and Michigan, Biden’s support from Black voters has dropped about 20% since the last election.
Trump Gains Lead in Swing States
Meanwhile, Trump once again does well in these polls in Michigan and Pennsylvania. Though he still doesn’t have anywhere close to the support that Biden does, the former president has still seen a rise in support from Black voters.
In 2020, Trump only had 9% of the Black vote. Now, new polls indicate that he could have about 15%.
Biden’s Support Is Increasing
Some polls have given the Biden campaign some positive news, as there are signs that Black voters have begun to support the president in recent months.
One of the most recent polls has shown that Biden has about 72% support among all Black voters. This is an increase from the 66% that was seen earlier this year. However, it’s still below the 79% seen in 2020 before the presidential election.
Biden vs Trump
These latest polls simply show how close the upcoming November election between Biden and Trump may be.
As we get closer to November, these polls may continue to change, similarly to how they’ve changed in just the last few months.
