Grim New Data: Newsom’s $20 Minimum Wage Tied to Fast Food Industry Slump

By: Georgia | Published: Jul 26, 2024

A recent survey from the Employment Policies Institute paints a dire picture for California’s fast-food industry following Governor Gavin Newsom’s implementation of a $20-an-hour minimum wage. 

The survey reveals that a staggering 89% of fast-food companies surveyed have reduced employee hours less than a year after the wage hike.

Job Cuts and Closed Doors

The fallout is severe—some fast-food locations are not only cutting hours but also laying off staff entirely. 

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Workers preparing sandwiches at a fast-food restaurant counter

Source: Wikimedia Commons

The law, celebrated by many as a progressive victory when signed last fall, is now under scrutiny as small franchisees and their employees bear the brunt of its consequences.

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Limited Opportunities for Remaining Workers

For the workers who have kept their jobs, the new minimum wage law has brought another challenge: reduced access to overtime and fewer shifts. 

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A piece of fried chicken on a waffle served on a white plate

Source: Wikimedia Commons

The opportunities to earn more, which many relied on, have diminished, affecting their overall income.

A Deep Dive into the Survey’s Findings

The Employment Policies Institute’s study included responses from 182 limited-service restaurant operators across California. 

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Interior view of a busy In-N-Out Burger restaurant with employees and customers

Source: Qi Li/Unsplash

This comprehensive analysis was conducted between June and July, following the state’s release of alarming job loss figures.

Hollywood Icon Shuts Down

In a poignant example of the industry’s struggle, the iconic Arby’s Roast Beef in Hollywood closed its doors in June after 55 years of service. 

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Nighttime view of Arby’s Roast Beef restaurant with illuminated neon sign

Source: Wikimedia Commons

The closure marked a significant loss, signaling broader industry challenges.

Marilyn Leviton's Heartfelt Goodbye

Marilyn Leviton, 91, the owner of the now-closed Arby’s, attributed the closure partly to the pandemic but noted that the recent minimum wage law was the “proverbial nail in the coffin.” 

Arby's sandwich in a holder with the logo visible, featuring bacon and a bun

Source: Arby's/Facebook

Her farewell message, “TY for 55 great years,” echoed a somber end to a longstanding business.

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Widespread Price Hikes and Staff Cuts

The survey highlighted that a massive 98% of respondents have raised their menu prices. 

Close-up of a hand holding a slice of pizza with toppings including olives and sausage

Source: Farhad Ibrahimzade/Unsplash

Additionally, 70% have had to reduce staff or consolidate positions as a direct response to the increased wage demands.

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The High Cost of Staying in Business

Business owners are feeling the pinch, with 67% stating that the new minimum wage could cost them an extra $100,000 per location. 

Facade of Mikey's Pizza restaurant with decorative lights and a clear blue sky at dusk

Source: Lauren York/Unsplash

The financial strain is prompting tough decisions about staffing and service levels.

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Future Outlook: Price Increases and Reduced Expansion

A concerning 93% of surveyed businesses anticipate raising their prices further.

Close-up of a couple eating burgers and fries at a restaurant.

Source: Kenny Eliason/Unsplash

89% are less likely to expand within California due to the high operational costs associated with the new wage law.

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Considering Moves Out of State

The high minimum wage is pushing 59% of the businesses surveyed to consider expanding operations out of state, where they can find more favorable wage conditions. 

Close-up of golden fries served on a plate.

Source: Christian Bolt/Unsplash

This trend could reshape the fast-food industry landscape in California.

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The Looming Threat of Closures

An overwhelming 74% of respondents believe there’s an increased likelihood of having to shut down their restaurants permanently. 

A person holding a hot dog with mustard and ketchup, outdoors

Source: Peter Secan/Unsplash

This sentiment demonstrates the existential threat many are facing in the current economic climate.

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What’s Next for the Fast-Food Industry?

California officials are gearing up for a fast-food industry council meeting next week, aiming to assess the full impact of the minimum wage increase. 

A variety of street food dishes including tacos and sandwiches on a rustic wooden counter

Source: Paula Vermeulen/Unsplash

This gathering will be crucial for understanding the long-term effects of the law and planning the path forward for the struggling sector.

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