Putin Warns The West Will be “At War” With Russia if Restrictions Ease

By: David Donovan | Published: Sep 13, 2024

Vladimir Putin has cautioned that the U.S. and NATO would be ‘at war’ with Russia if the West allows Ukraine to utilize long-range rockets. 

U.S. and British foreign ministers met President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv on Wednesday with the conflict at a pivotal point as Russia and China strengthen their ties.

“Change the Very Nature of the Conflict”

American authorities have likewise been talking about easing restrictions on the utilization of weapons that could strike deep inside Russia as the U.S. continues to provide resources to Ukraine. 

Advertisement
Ukrainian president Zelenskyy, German chancellor Merkel, French president Macron and Putin met in Paris on 9 December 2019 in the "Normandy Format" aimed at ending the war in Donbas.

Source: Kremlin.ru

Putin said the move from the West would ‘change the very nature of the conflict’, and gave a serious warning against giving Zelenskyy further firepower.

Advertisement

“Appropriate Decisions Based on the Threats”

Putin relayed to a state TV reporter on Thursday, “It would mean that NATO countries, the US, European countries, are at war with Russia.” 

Advertisement
Putin hosted a meeting of the Russian-led military alliance, the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), in Moscow on 16 May 2022, people sit around a table with flags in a golden room.

Source: Kremlin.ru

“If that’s the case, then taking into account the change of nature of the conflict, we will take the appropriate decisions based on the threats that we will face.”

Warning Timing

He added that making room for Ukraine to utilize rockets that can hit Russian targets “is a decision on whether NATO countries are directly involved in the conflict or not’.” 

Advertisement
Keir Starmer with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, they are in a state room with the British and Ukrainian flags on the table.

Source: Simon Dawson/No 10 Downing Street

24 hours before President Joe Biden is set to meet British Prime Minister Keir Starmer at the White House Putin issued his warning.

Ukrainian Aid

Zelenskyy has requested that the West give him more missiles and air protections after a progression of Russian rocket assaults. 

Advertisement
Antony Blinken meets with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Kyiv in 2022. Blinken is holding a box with medals as Zelenskyy looks towards him.

Source: President.gov.ua

Antony Blinken reported Washington would give more than $700 million in aid, while foreign secretary David Lammy said Britain would provide a further £600 million ($781 million) in the most recent demonstration of help for Kyiv.

Potential for Zelenskyy

There is no word yet on whether Zelenskyy will prevail with regards to getting what he truly wants – a go-ahead from the White House and Downing Street to start sending off Western-provided long-range rockets at Russian domestic targets. 

Zelenskyy, French president Macron and Russian president Putin meeting in Paris on 9 December 2019 in the "Normandy Format", they are going towards seats in a state room with officials and flags behind them.

Source: Kremlin.ru

Kyiv’s troops will soon be able to use US ATACMS and Anglo-French Storm Shadow missiles to strike Russian military assets as deep as 300 kilometers (190 miles) inside Russia if Ukraine’s Western allies lift the ban.

Advertisement

Changing the Course of the Conflict

This capability of utilizing weaponry within the Russian borders has the potential to significantly alter the course of the conflict.

Kharkiv skyline with buildings in a circular pattern around a central plaza with trees and trees lining the street.

Source: Oleksandr Malyon/Wikimedia Commons

The Institute for the Study of War, a US think-tank, last month laid out a rundown of almost 250 high-value military and paramilitary targets close enough to the weapons that could be obliterated by Ukraine.

Advertisement

Possible Targets

Among the primary targets detailed by the ISW encompass upwards of 16 Russian air bases, a huge number of brigade and division headquarters, artillery, and rocket units vital to Russia’s air protection capabilities. 

Putin with Russia's long-serving Defense Minister Sergei Shoygu (left) and Chief of the General Staff Valery Gerasimov at the Vostok 2018 military exercise

Source: Kremlin.ru

Further identified targets include an assortment of logistics hubs providing supplies to Vladimir Putin’s units on the frontlines.

Advertisement

Destabilizing Russia

Focusing on these key targets could handicap Russian logistics, command, and combat support, altogether lessening Moscow’s offensive capacities in occupied Ukrainian land after Putin faced losses in his own territory and reclaimed Ukrainian territory.

Putin and Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu with Russian officers on 20 October 2022, Putin shakes a soldiers hand as others stand in line.

Source: Kremlin.ru

This would still be a harsh blow regardless of whether Putin’s soldiers redeploy most essential bombing aircraft further east. 

Advertisement

Limited Capabilities

The Kursk nuclear energy plant and a few nuclear weapons reserves likewise pose hypothetical targets.

Kursk Nuclear Power Plant, the building is seen in the mid-distance with fields in front with reeds and a small river, there are white and red towers emerging from the industrial buildings.

Source: Dmitriy 92/Wikimedia Commons

Ukraine has already carried out a number of attacks deep inside Russia, targeting Moscow, several oil refineries, and ammunition dumps. However, the kamikaze drones used in those strikes are extremely vulnerable to Russian air defense and jamming systems and have a very limited range.

Advertisement

ICC Warrants

As a result of the conflict, the International Criminal Court (ICC) has issued warrants for the arrest of several Russian officials for the illegal deportation of children during the war.

Vladimir Putin in a meeting with Maria Lvova-Belova in the Kremlin during the Russian invasion of Ukraine, they are sitting at a table in chairs with flags beside them.

Source: Kremlin.ru

The warrant includes President Vladimir Putin as well as Maria Lvova-Belova who is the Russian commissioner for children’s rights though Russia has said the warrants are “null and void.”

Advertisement

Direction of Attacks

Further warrants were issued for Sergei Shoigu, head of Russia’s Security Council as well as Viktor Sokolov and Sergey Kobylash.

Putin with Shoigu, Gerasimov, Belousov, Yevkurov and commanders of Russia's military districts on 15 May 2024, they sit at a board room table with curtains and officials around them.

Source: Kremlin.ru

They are accused of aiming attacks at civilian sites by the ICC.

As tensions increase between Russia and The West, reports from Russia include talks of building replicas of monuments like the White House and Big Ben only to blow them up with missiles.

Advertisement